(Virtual) 2021 Intelligent Defence & Smart Power – Delivering on the Integrated Review

With degrees in engineering, economics, and comparative complex organization systems /political science, Dr. Chris C. Demchak is the Grace M. Hopper Chair of Cyber Security and Senior Cyber Scholar, Cyber and Innovation Policy Institute, U.S. Naval War College. In published articles, books, and current research on cyberspace as a global, insecure, complex, conflict-prone “substrate,” Demchak takes a socio-technical-economic systemic (STES) approach to comparative institutional evolution with emerging technologies, adversaries’ cyber/AI/ML use in campaigns, virtual wargaming for strategic/operational organizational learning, and regional/national/enterprise-wide resilience against complex systems surprise. Her manuscript in-progress is entitled Cyber Westphalia: Rise of Great Systems Conflict and Democratic Collective Resilience. Her next manuscript is entitled Cyber Commands: Organizing for Cybered Great Systems Conflict.

Jack is an Infantryman who, in the course of a distinguished career, commanded RMA Sandhurst and NATO Armed Forces North as a 4* General. He has recently been with 3 Division on exercise in North America. Jack has provided invaluable defence insight to Cityforum over the last twelve years and continues to be one of our most valued colleagues and an expert source of knowledge in this field. Jack has chaired a number of Cityforum’s round tables and has played an integral role in the 2018 and 2019 Maximising Intelligent Defence series of round tables and conclaves, developed in association with MOD.

Klaus Dodds is Professor of Geopolitics at Royal Holloway University of London and Director of Research for the School of Life Sciences and Environment. He completed his PhD at the University of Bristol (1994) and subsequently worked at the University of Edinburgh. In 2005 he was awarded the Philip Leverhulme Prize in Geography, which is funded by the Leverhulme Trust in the UK. He has held visiting fellowships at the University of Oxford, University of Canterbury in New Zealand and most recently at the University of Loughborough and acted as external examiner for the Scott Polar Research Institute at University of Cambridge, University College London, and University College Dublin. He is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences and is Honorary Fellow of British Antarctic Survey. In his work outside the academy, Dodds has served as a specialist adviser to the UK Parliament to two enquiries into the Arctic (2014-5 and 2018) and is one of the two UK representatives for the IASC’s Human and Social Working Group. He is a member of UK National Antarctic Committee. He worked for the UK government department DEFRA on their COVID-19 advisory group (2020-21) and continues to work with other organizations such as WWF and NATO on polar matters. He is a trustee to the Royal Geographical Society and Regional Studies Association, and is editor of chief of Territory, Politics, Governance. He is a visiting professor to the College of Europe (Warsaw) and will be teaching a new course on the geopolitics of dis-information and mal-information. In his academic work, he has spent the last 25 years working on a variety of topics including polar geopolitics and governance and more recently, an emerging field called ice humanities. Recent book-length publications include; The Arctic: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford University Press 2021 with Jamie Woodward) and a co-edited collection called Ice Humanities (Manchester University Press 2022 with Sverker Sorlin). His next book with be with Yale University Press addressing contemporary and future iterations of Arctic geopolitics.

Appointed Director General Joint Force Development in April 2021, Ian is responsible for the conceptual element of UK fighting power: concepts & doctrine, training & education, exercise & experimentation, lessons learned & innovation. Having amassed over 3000 flying hours and 350 operational missions as a Tornado Weapons Instructor and in Operational Test & Evaluation of Tornado and Typhoon, Ian was awarded the Sir Arthur Barratt prize for developing new tactics / techniques for the 2003 Scud-hunting campaign. He was at the forefront of the deployment of Tornado to Afghanistan in 2009 and fought the 2011 Libya campaign as the Deputy Air Contingent Commander. Ian is a mentor on the RAF's 'Rise Together' scheme, where he enjoys helping others to achieve their best. He has owned various aircraft and flown over 30 types ranging from Tiger Moth to Apache to Typhoon; he is an active Class Rating Instructor and is currently striving to be a better aerobatic pilot on the UK competition circuit.

Stephen Hawker is a former senior member of the UK intelligence and security community. Since 2006 he has worked as an independent consultant providing insight to government and the commercial sector in the UK and overseas on national security and intelligence issues. He has also served as a member of the Advisory Board of BAE Systems Applied Intelligence. He is a member of the Security Vetting Appeals Panel (SVAP) and the Advisory Council on National Records and Archives (ACNRA). Stephen has undertaken significant assignments at Board level in the public and private sectors including Capability Reviews of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO), benchmarking reviews of overseas security and intelligence services and other capacity building and training in Africa and the Middle East. In 2011 he undertook an independent international review of security clearance arrangements for the government of New Zealand. Stephen has been a Non-Executive Director of FCO Services, Chairman of Critical-Link Ltd and an independent member of the FCO Consular Management Board. He was specialist adviser to the House of Lords sub-committee reviewing the EU’s Internal Security Strategy in 2011 and one of the ‘Critical Friends’ advising the Home Office on security arrangements for the 2012 London Olympics. Stephen serves as Senior Associate of Cityforum and offers guidance across a wide range of its activities.

Isabel Hilton is a London based writer and broadcaster. Isabel is a visiting professor at the Lau Institute at Kings College London, is founder and senior advisor to the China Dialogue Trust, and is the Chair of the Board of Trustees for the Centre for Investigative Journalism. Isabel also serves on the board of E3G.

As Professor of Occupational Health Psychology, Craig is interested in the effect of workplaces and working on people’s health and psychological wellbeing. Craig contributed to both of the leading UK textbooks on occupational health and many Health and Safety Executive reports. Specific interests include unusual occupations, uniformed services, work-related suicide, technology change, pesticide exposures, working hours, stress, and psychological assessments. Craig is Honorary Senior Lecturer at the Institute of Occupational and Environmental Medicine (University of Birmingham). He is a former Associate editor of Occupational & Environmental Medicine (a BMJ journal); Vice-Chair of several NHS Local Research Ethics Committees, and former editor in Chief of the International Journal of Rural Psychology. Full details here http://www.health.bcu.ac.uk/craigjackson/

Franklin D. Kramer is a distinguished fellow and board director of the Atlantic Council. Mr. Kramer has served as a senior political appointee in two administrations, including as assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs. At the Department of Defense, Mr. Kramer was in charge of the formulation and implementation of international defense and political-military policy, with worldwide responsibilities including NATO and Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. In the non-profit world, Mr. Kramer has been a senior fellow at CNA; chairman of the board of the World Affairs Council of Washington, DC; a distinguished research fellow at the Center for Technology and National Security Policy of the National Defense University; and an adjunct professor at the Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University. Mr. Kramer’s areas of focus include defense, both conventional and hybrid; NATO and Russia; China, including managing competition, military power, economics and trade, and China-Taiwan-US relations; cyber including resilience and international cyber issues; innovation and national security; and irregular conflict and counterinsurgency. Mr. Kramer has written extensively; his publications include: on multi-theater, multi-domain defense strategy, “Transformative Priorities for National Defense;” on NATO, “Deterrence Assurance: Why NATO Needs a Plan for the Indo-Pacific Region,” “NATO Priorities After the Brussels Summit,” “Meeting the Russian Hybrid Challenge” and “Meeting the Russian Conventional Challenge;” on China, “Priorities for a Transatlantic China Strategy,” “Managed Competition: Meeting China’s Challenge in a Multi-vector World,” and “The China Plan: A Transatlantic Blueprint for Strategic Competition (chapters on economics and on “one-world” cooperation); on resilience, “Effective Resilience and National Strategy: Lessons from the Pandemic and Requirements for Key Critical Infrastructures,” “Defeat the Next Pandemic — In Advance;” on cyber, “NATO Needs Continuous Responses in Cyberspace,” “Cybersecurity: Changing the Model,” “Cyber and Deterrence: The Military-Civil Nexus in High-End Conflict,” and “Cyber, Extended Deterrence, and NATO;” on innovation and technology, “Innovation, Leadership, and National Security;” and on counterinsurgency, “Civil Power in Irregular Conflict” (principal editor, and co-author of the policy chapter) and “Irregular Conflict, The Department of Defense and International Security Reform.”

Dr. Mayraz is a behavioural economist at the University of Sydney. His research combines theory and experiments to study decision making in uncertain situations. One particular focus is wishful-thinking: when people are biased to believe that what they want to be true is, in fact, true. Another focus is the impact of problem framing on the choices people make. Dr. Mayraz has consulted various companies, such as Prudential Financial, and was an expert witness to the High Court in Victoria. He has a BS in mathematics from the Hebrew University in Jerusalem and a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics.

Carl Miller is a technology author and researcher. His first book is The Death of the Gods: The New Global Power Grab. An examination of the new centres of power and control in the twenty-first century, it was published by Penguin Random House in August 2018. In 2012 he co-founded the first UK think tank institute dedicated to studying the digital world at DEMOS, and has written for the Economist, Wired, New Scientist, the Sunday Times, the Telegraph and the Guardian. He’s also a Visiting Research Fellow at King’s College London.

Madeleine Moon was an MP until 2019 and represented the Bridgend constituency in South East Wales at Westminster from 2005. She served on several select committees, joining the Defence Select Committee in 2009. During her time as a member, she chaired two sub-committees, producing reports on the safety and welfare of Armed Forces personnel on training exercises and defence in the Arctic. Madeleine was elected as President of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly in November 2018 and was a member of the UK Delegation to the NATO Parliamentary Assembly from 2010, serving as a member of the Defence and Security Committee.

Lieutenant General Richard Nugee was commissioned into the Army in 1986. He completed operational tours of Northern Ireland, Bosnia, Kosovo, Iraq, Cyprus and Afghanistan. He also specialised in personnel (HR) roles culminating in Chief of Defence People. He spent his final year writing a Review of Defence's approach to Climate Change and Sustainability, and is now the Non Executive Director for Climate Change for Defence. He is Chair of the NAAFI Board, Director of his own Strategic Advisory Company, a Fellow of the Royal Geographical Society, a Chartered Fellow of the CIPD, a Companion of the Chartered Management Institute and is Patron, Chair and Trustee of a number of organisations.

Suzanne Raine is an Affiliate Lecturer at the Centre for Geopolitics at Cambridge University, and a member of the Board of Trustees of the Imperial War Museum, the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) and Stop The Traffik, an NGO which works to stop people-trafficking. She served for 24 years in the British Foreign and Commonwealth Office on foreign policy and national security issues. This included postings in Poland, Iraq and Pakistan. She specialised in counter-terrorism, holding a number of senior domestic appointments including Head of the Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre from 2015-2017. She was also a senior member of the UK government assessment community.

Tim Ripley has reported on defence and conflicts extensively over the past 30 years. His work has appeared in The Sunday Times, The Daily Telegraph, The Scotsman, Jane’s Defence Weekly and Jane’s Intelligence Review, among other publications. He has travelled extensively across the Middle East, the Balkans and Eastern Europe, reporting on conflicts in these regions. Most recently he has covered the Russian interventions in Crimea, Ukraine and Syria, using both “traditional” journalism and new digital/open-source intelligence (OSINT) reporting methods. Tim is a familiar ‘face’ and ‘voice’ in the British and international media. He regularly talks to UK and international media about a variety of defence, security and terrorism issues. Recent appearances include: CNN, Fox News, CBC, Al Jazerra, BBC One O’clock News, Radio Four Today Programme, News 24, BBC World Service, BBC Local Radio network and the Reuters News Agency. He is a prolific author of books on military and defence subjects. Recent titles have covered modern conflicts, historical subjects and military technology. His most recent book, Operation Aleppo: Russia’s War in Syria, describes the Russian military campaign in Syria from 2015-2017 was published in April 2018 (available, via www.amazon.co.uk).

Malin Severin is a Swedish analyst currently seconded by the Swedish Defence Staff to the UK MOD’s think tank Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre, DCDC. As part of the DCDC Futures Team she works with Strategic Foresight, covering trends and developments in Europe, Russia, as well as issues relating to the future of governance. Prior to joining DCDC she worked at the Swedish Defence Research Agency, FOI, where her research focused on intelligence challenges in the context of Russian non-linear warfare. Malin’s policy-oriented research has sought to identify links between contemporary policy problems and lessons from history, specifically in the context of developing Sweden’s Total Defence concept. Malin has a background in journalism and political risk analysis, and has also worked at the Swedish Embassy in Washington, DC. She is currently pursuing a PhD at the Department of War Studies, King’s College London where she is a member of the Centre for Grand Strategy. She holds master’s degrees in Political Science and Journalism from Uppsala and Lund University, as well as a Master of Arts in Intelligence and International Security from King’s College London.

Dave Short is the Technology & Advanced Programmes Director for BAE Systems, which is a corporate wide role within the Chief Technology Officer (CTO) organisation. Dave’s focus is to create a competitive edge for our military customers by leading collaborating on technology within our business and across industrial partners, including internationally. Previous roles have been largely in the Aerospace sector as Engineering Director & Engineering Authority for the Typhoon and Tornado products in the military aircraft business. Before that, he was the BAE Systems Engineering Director and Chief Engineer for F-35 based at Samlesbury. Dave is a Chartered Systems Engineer, a Fellow of the Royal Aeronautical society, a Fellow of the IET and a trustee on the UK Engineering Council.

Paul Spedding has worked in the Defence and Security industry for over 35 years. A Mechanical Engineer, he started his career in Electro-Optics, where, as a board member, he led a re-shaping and subsequent divestment of the business before moving on to lead a global soldier modernisation business for a European defence company. He then joined a US owned company where he was instrumental in establishing a Middle Eastern JV to address domestic security and IT requirements. Paul was approached by BAE Systems Applied Intelligence in early 2015 and, knowing nothing about Cyber and Digitalisation, jumped at the chance to work for a British defence company helping the UK's defence, security and prosperity agenda. He is married with two children, loves the outdoors and has an old classic motorcycle to keep his mechanical engineering desires in check.

EETPU National Officer, responsible for Political Activities, Research, Conferences and Union communications until 1992.
Elected as MP for Birmingham Northfield by-election 1982. Defeated General Election 1983. Contested Northfield again 1987. Elected General Election 1992 Warley West, 1997, 2001 and 2005 Warley. Previously candidate for Bromley General Election 1970. Councillor London Borough of Bromley 1970 - 1974.
Interests: Defence, Energy, Motor Industry, and Aviation Industry.
• Political Positions: Opposition Whip with responsibility for Employment, Trade and Industry and Parliamentary Business 1992 - 1994
• Front Bench Spokesman - Northern Ireland 1994 - 1995 Front Bench Spokesman - Defence 1995 – 1997
• Parliamentary Under-Secretaryof State - Defence 1997 - 1999 Minister of State - Armed Forces 1999 - 2001
• Minister for Transport - 2001- 2003 Minister for Northern Ireland - 2003 - 2005
• Comptroller of Her Majesty's Household - Assistant Chief Whip 2008 - 2010
• Opposition Deputy Chief Whip 2010
• Shadow Minister for Foreign & Commonwealth Office 2010- 2015
• Member and Lead Opposition Member Defence Select Committee 2015 -
• Treasurer - British American Parliamentary Group

Air Marshal Edward Stringer is currently advising the Secretary of State for Defence on the Office of Net Assessment and Challenge. Previously the Director General of Joint Force Development, and DG Defence Academy, within UK Strategic Command, responsible for the conceptual element of UK fighting power: concepts & doctrine, training & education, exercise & experimentation, lessons learned & innovation. Before that he was Assistant CDS (Operations) in the MOD in Whitehall, essentially the MOD’s operations director – from UK flood-relief to the Deterrent. Previously he had been ACAS, the RAF’s Assistant Chief, responsible for all policy interaction with MOD and for the RAF Board’s business. He arrived there from seeing the inside of the Pentagon as CDS’ Liaison Officer to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. A previous Commandant Air Warfare Centre and head of RAF Intelligence he has had operational commands in Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq and the Balkans. A one-time Jaguar pilot and weapons instructor (QWI) he first saw action in the Gulf War in ’91 and in the no-fly zone (NFZ) operations that followed.